Contact
← Resources
DAP / Briefing / Sovereign AI

Sovereign intelligence, explained

Open-weight models: what they are, why institutions run their own, and how to tune one safely. With a note on sh4pe, DAP's local model studio.

Dartmouth Advisory PartnersChecked 29 October 2026

01 / Summary

The short version

An open-weight model is one you can download and run on your own hardware. Your data never has to leave the building.

What it isThe model's parameters are published. That is not the same as open source, which also needs the code and data information.
How goodThe best open models trail the best closed ones by about 4 months on general capability (Epoch AI, May 2026). The gap is 6 to 7 months on harder tests.
Why run oneData stays in-house. The model never changes without you. Costs are predictable. You can inspect and reproduce it.
The catchYou own operations, security, evaluation, and licence compliance.
How to tuneClimb a ladder: prompting, then retrieval, then adapter tuning (LoRA). Most tasks stop before full fine-tuning.
LicencesMany now carry revenue, user, and attribution triggers. Get legal review before any client-facing use.
RegulationOSFI Guideline E-23 takes effect 1 May 2027 and covers AI models. EU enforcement for general-purpose models began 2 August 2026.

The rule that does not change

Running a model locally does not make it fit for a decision. Evaluate it on held-out data. Then a named person signs off. Models propose. Humans ratify.

02 / Definitions

Open weights, open source, closed

Three kinds of model. The difference is what you are given, and where it runs.

 ClosedOpen weightsOpen source (OSI)
Parameters publishedNoYesYes
Training and inference codeNoSometimesYes, complete
Training data informationNoRarelyYes
Runs on your hardwareNoYesYes
You can tune itVendor tools onlyYesYes
LicenceVendor termsVaries widelyOSI-approved terms

The Open Source Initiative published its Open Source AI Definition 1.0 in October 2024. It requires the freedom to use, study, modify, and share, plus the parameters, the full code, and detailed information about the training data.

Most models people call "open" are open weights only. Licences with use restrictions, such as Llama's, do not meet the OSI definition. Critics note the definition still lets developers withhold the training data itself.

Why the label matters

Under the EU AI Act, a model under a free and open-source licence with public weights is exempt from some documentation duties (Article 53(2)). Whether a licence with revenue caps qualifies is a question for counsel.

03 / The point

Why institutions run their own

Execution can be rented. Judgment should be owned.

What you gain
  • Sovereignty. Prompts and documents stay on hardware you control.
  • Stability. The model only changes when you change it. No silent vendor update.
  • Auditability. You can pin a version, inspect it, and reproduce an answer.
  • Specialization. Tune it on your own approved material, for one task.
  • Cost control. Pay for hardware, not per word.
What you take on
  • Operations. Hosting, updates, and uptime are yours.
  • Security. Model files can carry malicious code.
  • Evaluation. You must prove it works for the task.
  • Capability. A gap of months behind the frontier.
  • Licences. Each model has its own triggers to track.

A simple test

Use a closed modelPublic information. General drafting. Tasks where the frontier matters most.
Use an open modelConfidential documents. Repeated, narrow tasks. Work a regulator may ask you to reproduce.

04 / The gap

How far behind are open models?

Months, not years. And it depends on the test.

Months behind the best closed model

General capability (Epoch Capabilities Index, May 2026)4 monthsCyber index (Epoch AI, October 2026)6 to 7 monthsFurniture assembly benchmark (Epoch AI, September 2026)7 months02468

Epoch AI tracks the gap across measures. On its general Capabilities Index, open models have trailed by an average of 4 months since January 2026, up from about 3 months in October 2025. On harder domain tests, the gap is wider.

The Stanford AI Index 2026 shows the same pattern on the public Arena leaderboard: the top closed model scored 1,503 and the top open model 1,454.

What this means for you

Public benchmarks are not your task. A smaller tuned model can beat a larger general one on a narrow job. Only your own held-out test will tell you.

05 / The landscape

Leading open-weight models, October 2026

Permissive means Apache 2.0 or MIT. Custom licences often allow internal use freely, but add duties above revenue or user thresholds. Check each licence file yourself: terms change between versions.

FamilyLatestLicenceNote
gpt-oss
OpenAI
gpt-oss-120b, 20b (Aug 2025)Apache 2.0Permissive. 120b fits on one 80 GB GPU.
Gemma 4
Google
Up to 31B (Apr 2026)Apache 2.0First Gemma under Apache 2.0.
Qwen 3.8
Alibaba
27B; 2.4T (Aug 2026)Apache 2.0; customLarge model: attribution and revenue triggers.
DeepSeek V4
DeepSeek
V4 Pro; V4.1 Flash (Sep 2026)MITPermissive. Check the US DHS order first.
Mistral
Mistral AI
Small 4; Medium 3.5Apache 2.0; modified MITMedium excludes large-revenue firms.
Phi-4
Microsoft
reasoning-vision 15B (Mar 2026)MITSmall and permissive.
Granite 4.2
IBM
3B, 8B, 30B (Aug 2026)Apache 2.0Small and permissive.
Nemotron 3.5
NVIDIA
Super VL 120B (Oct 2026)OpenMDW-1.1Commercial use allowed. Training data partly public.
Command A+
Cohere
218B (May 2026)Card says Apache 2.0Confirm the licence file before use.
GLM-5.3
Z.ai
753B (Aug 2026)CustomTop open model on Epoch's cyber index.
Kimi K3
Moonshot AI
2.8T totalCustomAttribution and revenue triggers.
Llama 4
Meta
Apr 2025, latest LlamaLlama 4 licence700M user cap. Naming and attribution rules.
Muse Spark Open
Meta
816B (Oct 2026)Muse Model LicenseFree up to $20M revenue. Use restrictions.

06 / Tuning

The tuning ladder

Start at rung 01. Move down only when a test shows you need to.

01PromptingInstructions and examplesNo weight change02Retrieval (RAG)Look up your documents at answer timeNo weight change03Adapter tuning (LoRA, QLoRA)Train a small add-on, base model frozenSmall add-on file04Full fine-tuningRetrain every weightA new modelMORE COST, MORE CONTROL, MORE TO GOVERN
MethodWhat it doesWhat it costs or givesSource
PromptingInstructions and examples. No weights change.Cheapest. Easiest to audit.
Retrieval (RAG)Pulls passages from your documents at answer time.Keeps sources current and citable.Lewis et al., 2020
LoRATrains small low-rank adapters. The base model stays frozen.Up to 10,000 times fewer trainable parameters. About 3 times less GPU memory.Hu et al., 2021
QLoRALoRA on a 4-bit compressed base model.Fine-tuned a 65B model on one 48 GB GPU.Dettmers et al., 2023
Full fine-tuningUpdates every weight.Highest cost. Multi-GPU at 70B.
Preference tuning (DPO)Teaches which of two answers is better.No separate reward model needed.Rafailov et al., 2023
DistillationA large model teaches a smaller one.Cheaper to run once trained.Hinton et al., 2015
QuantizationStores weights in fewer bits (GGUF, MLX).Smaller and faster. Some quality loss.

07 / Hardware and tools

What it takes to tune

Adapter tuning fits on one machine. Full fine-tuning at 70B does not.

Minimum GPU memory to tune (Unsloth)

Model sizeQLoRA (4-bit)LoRA (16-bit)
7B5 GB19 GB
8B6 GB22 GB
14B8.5 GB33 GB
32B26 GB76 GB
70B41 GB164 GB

Common local tools

ToolUseLatest (Oct 2026)
mlx-lmRun and tune models on Apple silicon. LoRA, QLoRA, DoRA, full fine-tuning.0.32.2
OllamaRun models locally with one command.0.40.9
llama.cppFast local inference. Reads GGUF files.0.7.0
vLLMHigh-throughput serving on GPU servers.0.32.0
Hugging Face PEFTLoRA and other adapter methods.0.21.2
Hugging Face TRLFine-tuning and preference tuning (DPO).1.16.0
UnslothFaster, lower-memory fine-tuning.0.1.911 beta

08 / Method

A governed tuning project, step by step

Eight steps. The order is the control.

01
Name the decision

Write down the one task the model supports, and who is accountable for its output.

02
Bound the dataset

Use approved data only. Record its source, licence, and any personal information. Fix the train and test split so it can be reproduced.

03
Pick the base model

Check the licence for revenue, user, and attribution triggers. Download weights in safetensors from the maker's official page.

04
Try the cheap rungs first

Measure prompting and retrieval before tuning anything. Many tasks stop here.

05
Train an adapter

Tune with LoRA or QLoRA on your own hardware. Keep the base model unchanged so you can roll back.

06
Evaluate on held-out data

Score it on examples it never saw in training. Compare against the cheap rungs and a closed model.

07
Qualify, then sign off

A named person approves the model for that task only. Running locally is not approval on its own.

08
Monitor and retire

Re-test on a schedule. Retire the adapter when the task, the data, or a better base model changes.

09 / Regulation

The dates that matter

2 Aug 2025EU general-purposemodel duties apply17 Apr 2026US SR 26-2replaces SR 11-72 Aug 2026EU enforcementpowers begin1 May 2027OSFI E-23takes effect2 Dec 2027EU high-risk rulescredit, insuranceTODAY: 29 OCTOBER 2026
Canada: OSFI E-23Model risk management for federally regulated financial institutions, effective 1 May 2027. Covers AI and vendor models. No longer applies to federally regulated pension plans.
Canada: AI strategyThe June 2026 national strategy proposes targeted laws, not one comprehensive AI act.
EU AI ActGeneral-purpose model duties apply. Systemic risk is presumed above 10^25 training FLOPs, and those models get no open-source exemption. High-risk rules for credit scoring and insurance pricing are deferred to 2 December 2027.
United StatesSR 26-2 replaces SR 11-7 for banks, but excludes generative and agentic AI. The NIST AI Risk Management Framework is being revised.
StandardISO/IEC 42001:2023 sets out an AI management system an auditor can certify.

General information, not legal advice. Confirm how each rule applies to your institution with counsel.

10 / Security

The model file is code

Treat a downloaded model like any other software you install.

The riskOlder "pickle" model files can run arbitrary code when loaded. Hugging Face says its own scanner is not foolproof.
Seen in the wildJFrog found about 100 malicious models on Hugging Face, roughly 95 percent using pickle. Three scanner bypasses were disclosed in December 2025 (Cloud Security Alliance, May 2026).
The fixUse safetensors files. A 2023 Trail of Bits audit found no critical code-execution flaws in the format.

Before any model touches firm data

  • Download only from the maker's official page. Record the exact file hash.
  • Prefer safetensors. Refuse pickle files.
  • Log the licence and its triggers (revenue, users, attribution, naming).
  • Check for sanctions or procurement orders that cover the maker, such as the US DHS order on DeepSeek (published October 2026).
  • Run the model with no network access until it passes your tests.

11 / sh4pe

DAP's local model studio

sh4pe is a local model studio for training, evaluating, and serving private models on institution-controlled hardware.

How a model earns its place

Bounded datasetLocal trainingHeld-out evaluationQualified useA PERSON SIGNS OFF

A candidate model is assessed on a defined task before it can take a place in a governed workflow. Local deployment alone does not establish that authority.

Built forTeams that handle sensitive institutional knowledge and need explicit data boundaries.
How it fitsModel quality and permitted tasks are evaluated separately from the decision to run locally. Deployment scope follows those results.
Connected workAntechamber (qualification architecture). Overture (governed runtime).

Talk to DAP

Discuss sh4pe, and read the related research, at dap.solutions/solutions/systems/sh4pe

12 / Sources

Where every fact comes from

  1. OSI Open Source AI Definition 1.0
    https://opensource.org/ai/open-source-ai-definition
  2. InfoWorld: OSI unveils Open Source AI Definition 1.0
    https://www.infoworld.com/article/3593266/osi-unveils-open-source-ai-definition-1-0.html
  3. Epoch AI: open vs closed ECI gap (May 2026)
    https://epoch.ai/data-insights/open-closed-eci-gap
  4. Epoch AI: open models topic page
    https://epoch.ai/topics/open-models
  5. Stanford AI Index 2026: technical performance
    https://hai.stanford.edu/ai-index/2026-ai-index-report/technical-performance
  6. OpenAI gpt-oss-120b model card
    https://huggingface.co/openai/gpt-oss-120b
  7. Google: Gemma 4 under Apache 2.0
    https://opensource.googleblog.com/2026/03/gemma-4-expanding-the-gemmaverse-with-apache-20.html
  8. Qwen3.8-27B model card
    https://huggingface.co/Qwen/Qwen3.8-27B
  9. Qwen3.8-2.4T licence
    https://huggingface.co/Qwen/Qwen3.8-2.4T-A95B/blob/main/LICENSE
  10. DeepSeek V4 Pro model card
    https://huggingface.co/deepseek-ai/DeepSeek-V4-Pro
  11. DeepSeek V4.1 Flash model card
    https://huggingface.co/deepseek-ai/DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash
  12. Mistral Small 4 model card
    https://huggingface.co/mistralai/Mistral-Small-4-119B-2603
  13. Mistral Medium 3.5 model card
    https://huggingface.co/mistralai/Mistral-Medium-3.5-128B
  14. Microsoft Phi-4-reasoning-vision model card
    https://huggingface.co/microsoft/Phi-4-reasoning-vision-15B
  15. IBM Granite 4.2 model card
    https://huggingface.co/ibm-granite/granite-4.2-8b
  16. NVIDIA Nemotron 3.5 Super VL model card
    https://huggingface.co/nvidia/NVIDIA-Nemotron-3.5-Super-VL-120B-A12B-BF16
  17. Cohere Command A+ model card
    https://huggingface.co/CohereLabs/command-a-plus-05-2026-bf16
  18. Z.ai GLM-5.3 licence
    https://huggingface.co/zai-org/GLM-5.3/blob/main/LICENSE
  19. Moonshot Kimi K3 licence
    https://huggingface.co/moonshotai/Kimi-K3/blob/main/LICENSE
  20. Meta Llama 4 licence
    https://dev.meta.ai/llama/llama4/license
  21. The New Stack: Meta Muse Spark Open (Oct 2026)
    https://thenewstack.io/meta-muse-spark-open/
  22. Lewis et al. 2020, Retrieval-Augmented Generation
    https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.11401
  23. Hu et al. 2021, LoRA
    https://arxiv.org/abs/2106.09685
  24. Dettmers et al. 2023, QLoRA
    https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.14314
  25. Rafailov et al. 2023, Direct Preference Optimization
    https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.18290
  26. Hinton et al. 2015, Distilling the Knowledge in a Neural Network
    https://arxiv.org/abs/1503.02531
  27. Hugging Face: GGUF
    https://huggingface.co/docs/hub/gguf
  28. mlx-lm LoRA guide
    https://github.com/ml-explore/mlx-lm/blob/main/mlx_lm/LORA.md
  29. Unsloth hardware requirements
    https://unsloth.ai/docs/get-started/fine-tuning-for-beginners/unsloth-requirements.md
  30. mlx-lm on PyPI
    https://pypi.org/project/mlx-lm/
  31. Ollama releases
    https://github.com/ollama/ollama/releases/latest
  32. llama.cpp releases
    https://github.com/ggml-org/llama.cpp/releases/latest
  33. vLLM releases
    https://github.com/vllm-project/vllm/releases/latest
  34. PEFT releases
    https://github.com/huggingface/peft/releases/latest
  35. TRL releases
    https://github.com/huggingface/trl/releases/latest
  36. Unsloth releases
    https://github.com/unslothai/unsloth/releases/latest
  37. European Commission: guidelines for GPAI providers
    https://digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu/en/policies/guidelines-gpai-providers
  38. EU AI Act Article 53
    https://artificialintelligenceact.eu/article/53/
  39. EU AI Act Article 51
    https://artificialintelligenceact.eu/article/51/
  40. EU AI Act Annex III
    https://artificialintelligenceact.eu/annex/3/
  41. National Law Review: EU Digital Omnibus on AI in force
    https://natlawreview.com/article/eu-digital-omnibus-ai-enters-force
  42. OSFI Guideline E-23 (2027)
    https://www.osfi-bsif.gc.ca/en/guidance/guidance-library/guideline-e-23-model-risk-management-2027
  43. Baker McKenzie: Canada's refreshed AI strategy (Jun 2026)
    https://www.bakermckenzie.com/en/insight/publications/2026/06/canada-federal-government-releases-refreshed-national-ai-strategy
  44. Federal Reserve SR 26-2
    https://www.federalreserve.gov/supervisionreg/srletters/SR2602.htm
  45. Orrick: model risk guidance overhaul (Apr 2026)
    https://www.orrick.com/en/Insights/2026/04/Agencies-Overhaul-Model-Risk-Management-Guidance-for-Banks-Heres-What-Changed
  46. NIST AI Risk Management Framework
    https://www.nist.gov/itl/ai-risk-management-framework
  47. ISO/IEC 42001:2023
    https://webstore.iec.ch/publication/90574
  48. Hugging Face: pickle security
    https://huggingface.co/docs/hub/security-pickle
  49. Hugging Face: safetensors
    https://huggingface.co/docs/safetensors/index
  50. Cloud Security Alliance: malicious model repositories (May 2026)
    https://labs.cloudsecurityalliance.org/research/csa-research-note-malicious-ai-model-repositories-attack-sur/
  51. Federal Register: DeepSeek exclusion order (20 Oct 2026)
    https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2026/10/20/2026-21447/notice-of-order-regarding-exclusion-and-removal-of-deepseek-products-from-federal-civilian-executive
  52. DAP: sh4pe
    https://dap.solutions/solutions/systems/sh4pe/

Settings checked on 29 October 2026. Platforms change their menus often. Follow the source links before relying on a path. This guide is general information. It is not legal, compliance, or investment advice.

Request the PDF

Tell us where to send it. Your email app opens with the request addressed to DAP, and we reply with the PDF.

Or write to us directly: info@dap.solutions

This website stores nothing you type here. It goes only into the email you choose to send.